Market Watch
Ownership housing affordability continued to improve in June 2025. Average selling prices and borrowing costs remained lower than last year's levels. However, despite some month-over-month momentum, many would-be homebuyers remained on the sidelines due to economic uncertainty.
The GTA housing market continued to show signs of recovery in June. With more listings available, buyers are taking advantage of increased choice and negotiating discounts off asking prices. Combined with lower borrowing costs compared to a year ago, homeownership is becoming a more attainable goal for many households in 2025.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, June home sales increased month-over-month compared to May 2025. New listings declined compared to May. The monthly increase in sales coupled with the monthly decline in new listings continued the tightening trend experienced during the spring.
The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) housing market experienced an improvement in affordability in May 2025 relative to the same period a year earlier. With sales down and listings up, homebuyers took advantage of increased inventory and negotiating power.
Looking at the GTA as a whole, homebuyers have certainly benefited from greater choice and improved affordability this year. However, each neighbourhood and market segment have their own nuances. Buyers considering a home purchase should connect with a REALTOR® who is knowledgeable about their preferred area and property type. In today’s market, working with a REALTOR® who brings expertise, the right tools, and a strong network is essential.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, May home sales were up month-over-month compared to April 2025. This was the second monthly increase in a row. New listings were also up compared to April, but by a lesser monthly rate than sales, suggesting a slight tightening in market conditions.
Home ownership costs are more affordable this year compared to last. Average selling prices are lower, and so too are borrowing costs. All else being equal, sales should be up relative to 2024. The issue is a lack of economic confidence. Once households are convinced that trade stability with the United States will be established and/or real options to mitigate our reliance on the United States exist, home sales will pick up. Further cuts in borrowing costs would also be welcome news to homebuyers.
Please note: a number of new client boards have been added over the last year. Many of these boards' Members trade within the Greater Toronto Area and broader Greater Golden Horseshoe regions. As a result, historic data have been updated to reflect the addition of these boards' listings and transactions. This means historic data have changed relative to previously published static reports.
April home sales followed the regular seasonal trend with an increase relative to March. However, total residential transactions in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) were
down compared to the same time last year, as potential buyers continue to wait for lower borrowing costs and for certainty about the trajectory of the economy.
“Following the recent federal election, many households across the GTA are closely monitoring the evolution of our trade relationship with the United States. If this relationship moves in a positive direction, we could see an uptick in transactions driven by improved consumer confidence and a market that is both more affordable and better supplied,” said TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule.
Inventory levels remained elevated historically in April, pointing to substantial choice for households looking to purchase a home in the GTA. Buyers took advantage of this choice when negotiating purchase prices, which resulted in a lower average price across market segments compared to last year. Lower prices coupled with lower borrowing costs translated into more affordable monthly mortgage payments.